The dairy sector in Kazakhstan is facing a period of potential growth and development, with plans in place for the construction and modernisation of milk farms and processing plants. However, doubts have been raised about the feasibility of these plans and the ability of the sector to meet the ambitious targets set out by the government.
### Doubting the dairy sector
Mikhail Mishenko, director of the Dairy Intelligence Agency in Moscow, has expressed skepticism about the numbers being touted by the Kazakh government. With an estimated annual milk production of 1.9 million tonnes, Mishenko questions whether the targets for new farms and processing plants are realistic. While some growth is possible, he highlights the challenge of achieving such rapid expansion in the sector.
### Labour shortage
One of the main constraints facing the dairy industry in Kazakhstan is a shortage of skilled labour. Daniyar Abitaev, deputy general director of a local dairy firm, has indicated that only a fraction of the proposed projects are likely to be implemented due to this issue. Acquiring the necessary highly productive cattle within a short timeframe is also a significant challenge, further hindering the industry’s growth potential.
### Livestock feed
Concerns have also been raised about the lack of focus on animal feed in the development plans. Insufficient processing capacities for the anticipated milk production could pose a serious obstacle to the sector’s expansion. Without adequate feed and processing infrastructure, the ambitious targets set by the government may be difficult to achieve in practice.
### Potential setbacks
Azamat Saginbaev, executive director of the Kazakh Chamber of Dairy Industry, warns that some farmers may be lured by the promise of cheap loans without fully understanding the implications. He emphasises the risk of projects being ultimately cancelled or falling short of expectations, as has been seen in other agricultural sectors in Kazakhstan in recent years.
While the Kazakh government and industry organisations have ambitious goals for boosting dairy production and exports, past experiences in other agricultural sectors suggest that achieving these targets may prove challenging. Without addressing key issues such as labour shortages, feed shortages, and processing capacity, the dairy sector in Kazakhstan may struggle to realise its full potential.
In conclusion, while the dairy sector in Kazakhstan holds promise for growth and development, there are significant challenges that must be overcome to achieve the ambitious targets set by the government. Addressing issues such as labour shortages, feed supply, and processing capacity will be crucial to unlocking the full potential of the industry. By carefully managing these challenges and implementing sustainable practices, Kazakhstan has the opportunity to establish itself as a key player in the global dairy market.
